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Inför TUF 6 finalen

Då var det dags att ta tag i de två intressanta matcherna på denna gala. Frågan är nog om de blir tillräckligt bra för att lyfta denna gala som helhet. Huvudmatchen med Huerta i huvudrollen är en av min absoluta favorit i lättvikt. Guida är också en favorit, dels för att han nästan alltid är underhållande samtidigt som hans mystiska förhållande till UFC domarna.

Roger Huerta vs Clay Guida

Huerta är något av UFC´s omslagspojke och jag tror de räknar med ännu en vinst av matadoren. Guida är dock den tuffaste fighter de har satt framför honom. Även om Huerta är obesegrad i 5 raka UFC matcher så är det ungefär lika missvisande som Guida´s 2-2 record som egentligen innehåller minst ett rån av domarna samt är mot tuffare motstånd. Båda är rutinerade fighters trots deras relativt unga ålder.

Geniet:
Jag tror att Huerta kommer att visa i denna matchen hur bra han egentligen är. Han kommer att vara fokuserad och plocka isär grottmänniskan bit för bit. Guida kommer i viss mån gömma sin groggyniess under den massiva kalufsen men i andra ronden kommer det oundvikliga…Guida somnar in, Huerta är nästa man för lättviktstiteln (sist jag skrev något liknade var om en viss Mr Alexander, det gick mindre bra).

jeNk:
Har lite svårt att se hur denna matchen kommer att gå…för jag vill att Huerta ska vinna, det är för mig självklart. Men problemet för att det ska hända är att Guida är mycket disciplinerad och systematisk i sin approach till matcherna. Huerta har visat en tendens till att blir frustrerat med slarviga sparkar när matchen inte går åt det hållet han vill. Så risken är att det blir domarna som får avgöra en jämn match…och då kan det ju gå hur som helst. Men historiskt sett har inte Guida varit gynnad vid de tillfällen och därför tror jag att Huerta vinner…

Ono:
Det har kommer bli en riktigt bra match. Två personer som gillar ha ett väldigt högt tempo och är inte rädda för att ge allt på gott och ont. Därför tror jag det blir en match med mycket hjärta. Vem vinner då? Jag vill säga Guida eftersom jag gillar när underdogsen vinner men tror inte han lyckas idag. Detta kommer bli ett 3-ronders krig där domarna kommer ge vinsten till Huerta.

Tommy Speer vs Mac Danzig

Tommy Speer, Matt Hughes favorit och avbild mot Mac Danzig som avstod från Hughes väckelsemöten. Det är nog klart vem den riktiga bondpojken håller på. Själv vill jag se Danzig som vinnare, han gav mig lite bergochdalbane känslor under dessa veckor. Lite som att plocka blad från en blomma…gilla, gilla inte, gilla.. Till slut blev det gilla…

Geniet:
Speer är stark, Danzig är mycket mer. Det borde egentligen vara en tillräcklig analys för att förstå att Danzig borde vinna. Problemet är lite att så tänker nog de flesta och detta vet säkerligen båda två om. Mac har stor press på sig att vinna då han anses som en rutinerad och fullfjädrad fighter på toppen av sin karriär. Speer däremot är för tillfället en stark brottare med ett stort hjärta som inte har något som helst att förlora. Han har redan knockat vinnar tippade George, kan han skrälla igen? Jag tror att det finns en chans till just dettta men jag tror att 9 av 10 matcher borde gå Danzigs väg… Danzig blir vinnare av TUF 2007!!!

jeNk:
Mac har annonserat att han ska ner till 155 efter denna match…ännu en TUFfare som haft framgångar trots fel viktklass. Men jag tror att det är just det som kommer bli problemet för Mac. Under hela säsongen har man talat om Speers urkraft och om han sedan serien varit hemma i ladan och tränat på sina submissionförsvar så kan han bli svår att stoppa. Är rädd för att Speer blir vinnaren av TUF via decision…

Ono:
Redan innan serien började så sa jag att Mac Danzig skulle vinna hela när jag såg “rollistan”. Kommer det hålla hela vägen då? Det tror jag faktiskt, för även om han inte har samma styrka som Speers så har han erfarenheten. Under alla sina matcher måste Danzig ha mött någon som är större och starkare än honom och vet hur han ska hantera Speers. Risken blir då att matchen i sig blir väldigt tråkig då Danzig kommer vara försiktig och inte köra några kombinationer. Så det kommer bli en split decision till Macs fördel.

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